Monday 28 November 2016

Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on Coral Reefs


Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on Coral Reefs

http://b.static.trunity.net/files/119301_119400/119379/Java_Sea.pnghttp://b.static.trunity.net/files/119301_119400/119379/Java_Sea.png
It has been well documented that rising temperatures are causing mass bleaching of coral reefs and putting the population of coral reefs under threat. This is partly due to anthropogenic warming, but there is a natural phenomenon that is causing temperatures to rise. This is known as El Niño. The idea of this is that trade winds at the equator cause ocean currents in the East Pacific to upwell from deep in the ocean. This helps to keep the average temperature of the East Pacific relatively cool. The current then proceeds west. As it moves in this direction, it is heated by the sun, meaning temperatures in the West Pacific are up to 10 degrees warmer than in the east. When an El Niño event occurs, this current that cools the East Pacific will significantly weaken, or may even disappear completely. This results in the East Pacific being pretty much the same temperature as the West Pacific.

This higher ocean temperature in the East Pacific is not good news for corals.  The ENSO has been identified as the trigger of bleaching in the Eastern Pacific. Studies in the Java Sea have shown just how big an effect El Niño can have on coral reefs. The 1982/83 warming event meant that average sea temperature was raised by 2-3 degrees over a six month period. This rapid warming was too much for corals, with between 80-90% of corals having died at test sites. This is obviously a massive blow to coral population, as well as significant damage to other marine life that lives in and around the coral. As seen in Figure 1, the Java Sea borders Java, Sumatra and Borneo. These are all heavily reliant on tourism and the loss of 80-90% of the areas coral reefs would have been a significant deterrent to tourists. Five years after the study there was a recovery of sorts, however the coral population is still at around 50% of previous levels.

 



 Figure 1- Map of the Java Sea and surrounding area.

 

Gill et al. (2006) showed that high levels of aerosols (dust and sulphides, largely created by volcanic activity) effectively mitigated bleaching conditions, even during ENSO years that would normally have created bleaching-favourable conditions. An El Niño event coupled with a period of anthropogenic warming could prove catastrophic for coral reefs. Having said this however, there have been several El Niño events since the mass bleaching event in Indonesia without there being such a pronounced effect on the coral population. This means that there must be other factors affecting coral reefs, not just the ENSO. The variety of factors affecting coral reefs in the South Pacific means that quantifying the impact of these events on coral reefs is very difficult, however it is certain that they will be important to the future survival of coral reefs.

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